A – Exchange Rate, Inflation, IPP, Oil, Electricity
and Gas
|
World
|
EUR / USD
|
GBP / USD
|
||||
May - Average Value
|
1,10
|
1,53
|
||||
Last Month Value
|
1,12
|
-2,0% ↘
|
1,54
|
-0,4% ↘
|
||
Average of the Last 6
Months
|
1,13
|
-9,1% ↘
|
1,53
|
-1,8% ↘
|
||
Market Expectation 2015
|
1,19
|
1,55
|
||||
|
Brazil
|
USD / BRL
|
EUR / BRL
|
GBP / BRL
|
||||||
May - Average Value
|
3,18
|
3,49
|
4,86
|
||||||
Last Month Value
|
3,01
|
5,5% ↗
|
3,38
|
3,3% ↗
|
4,63
|
5,1% ↗
|
|||
Average of the Last 6
Months
|
2,93
|
20%
↗
|
3,29
|
8,7%
↗
|
4,46
|
17,5%
↗
|
|||
Market Expectation 2015*
|
3,20
|
3,45
|
4,80
|
||||||
* Refreshed – Focus BCB and Market
|
The
accumulated IPCA for the period 2015 is the highest since 2003. The index was
again impacted by increases in Electricity
(mean + 2.77%). Strong high also linked to indexes that comprise the Housing group (+ 1.22%) and Water and Sewage rates (+ 1.22%).
Highlights also include the Transport group,
with an average reduction of 0.29%, due to reductions in airfares. The market
forecast is stability until the end of the year, since they are no longer
projected increases in large areas of infrastructure. Annual market expectation in March was 7.9% increased to 8.5% now.
Brazil
|
IPCA
|
INPC
|
IPC-M
|
|||
May - Average Value
|
0,74%
|
0,99%
|
0,68%
|
|||
Last Month Value
|
0,71%
|
0,71%
|
0,75%
|
|||
Accumulated Last 12
Months
|
8,47%
|
8,76%
|
8,31%
|
|||
Year Expectation
|
8,46%
|
8,13%
|
8,20%
|
3 – Producer Price Index - Processing Industries
(IPP)
The variation of 0.08% in the month is the smallest
sector rate since June 2014. The four most influential products on display
month against the previous month were: automobiles for passenger, truck-tractor
for trailers and semi-trailers, parts for motor vehicles and motor gearboxes
for motor vehicles. In relation to general industry, the greatest impacts were
chemicals (+ 3.5%), metal products (+ 2.83%) and computer equipment and
electronics (-3.14%).
General
Industry
|
Automotive
Industry
|
|||
April - Average Value
|
0,31%
|
0,08%
|
||
Last Month Value
|
1,86%
|
0,46%
|
||
Accumulated Last 12
Months
|
5,63%
|
7,73%
|
|
4 – SELIC Brazil Tax Rate
Because of
the economic situation of the market and the strong evolution of national
inflation, the government increased 0.5 percentage points over the Selic rate
in order to reduce consumption in the domestic market.
SELIC
|
Market Expectation End of
Year
|
|||
May - Value
|
13,75%
|
13,25%
|
||
Last Month Value
|
13,25%
|
|
4 – Oil (Petroleum) WTI (West Texas
Intermediate) and Brent
The barrel
of oil prices has maintained an upward bias supported by signs that the
sector's investment cuts may contain excess supply.
The high
commodity was also supported by the growth of gross domestic product of
Germany, which exceeded expectations, as well as plans for a meeting between
Greek authorities and creditors.
USD / Barrel
|
BRENT
|
WTI
|
||||
May - Average Value
|
65,56
|
60,30
|
||||
Last month value
|
67,45
|
-2,8% ↘
|
60,71
|
-0,7% ↘
|
||
Average of the Last 6
Months
|
61,87
|
8,9% ↗
|
55,57
|
9,7% ↗
|
||
Market Expectation 2015
|
59,00
|
53,00
|
||||
|
5 – Electricity
R$ / KWh
|
AMPLA RJ
|
LIGHT RJ
|
BRASIL
|
||||||
May - Average Value
|
0,70
|
0,63
|
0,54
|
||||||
Last month
value
|
0,70
|
0% -
|
0,63
|
0% -
|
0,54
|
0% -
|
|||
Average of
the Last 6 Months
|
0,58
|
72% ↗
|
0,57
|
33% ↗
|
0,48
|
45% ↗
|
|||
Market Expectation 2015
|
0,46
|
||||||||
Market Expectation 2016
|
0,49
|
||||||||
R$ / K m3
|
COMGAS SP
|
CEG RJ
|
Brazil
Average
|
|||||
May - Average Value 2015
|
1.521
|
1.176
|
1.420
|
|||||
Last Value
|
1.460
|
4,2% ↗
|
1.056
|
11% ↗
|
||||
B – Labor, Construction, Transport
|
1 – Labor Costs
Source: FIPE (government site - salarios.org.br).
General Industry Average. February data only available for adjustment.
Information: complete hour rates, including
salary, direct and indirect charges, without taxes – first trimester 2015.
Month
|
Average
Increase
|
INPC
|
Real Average Increase
|
fev/14
|
7,1%
|
5,4%
|
1,7%
|
jan/15
|
7,6%
|
7,1%
|
0,5%
|
fev/15
|
7,8%
|
7,7%
|
0,1%
|
1º Trimester
2015
|
|||
Fonction
|
Average
|
Maximun
|
|
Labor – Manpower
|
Production Assistant
|
16 R$ / h
|
25 R$ / h
|
Production Operator
|
19 R$ / h
|
30 R$ / h
|
|
Assembler
|
19 R$ / h
|
26 R$ / h
|
|
Forklift Operator
|
20 R$ / h
|
28 R$ / h
|
|
Administrative Auxiliar
|
21 R$ / h
|
30 R$ / h
|
|
Painter
|
21 R$ / h
|
35 R$ / h
|
|
Machine Operator
|
24 R$ / h
|
37 R$ / h
|
|
Welder
|
25 R$ / h
|
38 R$ / h
|
|
Quality Control Analyst
|
36 R$ / h
|
58 R$ / h
|
|
Quality Supervisor
|
55 R$ / h
|
107 R$ / h
|
|
Production Supervisor
|
57 R$ / h
|
94 R$ / h
|
|
Maintenance Supervisor
|
60 R$ / h
|
99 R$ / h
|
|
Project Planner
(designer)
|
63 R$ / h
|
99 R$ / h
|
|
Building Supervisor
|
70 R$ / h
|
109 R$ / h
|
|
Process Engineer
|
83 R$ / h
|
121 R$ / h
|
|
Project Engineer
|
91 R$ / h
|
134 R$ / h
|
|
Product Engineer
|
94 R$ / h
|
132 R$ / h
|
|
Project Management
|
108 R$ / h
|
176 R$ / h
|
|
Studies
|
CAD (Design)
|
150 R$ / h
|
Computer-aided design/project
|
|||
CAM
|
150 R$ / h
|
Tool machining program
|
||||
Modelling
|
80 R$ / h
|
Model of the machining program
|
||||
Simulation
|
120 R$ / h
|
Assisted simulation computing
|
Manufacturing
|
CNC / High Speed - Big
|
180 R$ / h
|
CNC cutter > 10 ton
|
||||
CNC / High Speed - Average
|
130 R$ / h
|
CNC cutter between 5 and 10 ton
|
|||||
CNC / High Speed - Small
|
80 R$ / h
|
CNC cutter <5 ton
|
|||||
Electrode Machining
|
100 R$ / h
|
Machining of electrodes
|
|||||
Common Milling
|
80 R$ / h
|
Common cutter without CNC
|
|||||
CNC Milling
|
180 R$ / h
|
Common cutter with CNC
|
|||||
Copier Milling Machine
|
80 R$ / h
|
Copier milling Machine
|
|||||
Erosion by Penetration
|
120 R$ / h
|
Making narrow profile
|
|||||
Erosion by Thread
|
90 R$ / h
|
Cutout hole "through" to false
accommodation
|
|||||
Grinding / Latte Machine
|
75 R$ / h
|
Lathe, Grinding, etc. in small parts
stamping use
|
|||||
Drilling / Radial Machine
|
75 R$ / h
|
Drilling in general
|
|||||
Lock / Assembly /
Adjustement
|
80 R$ / h
|
All manual Adjustment jobs and closing the
tuning machines
|
|||||
Assembly Bench
|
80 R$ / h
|
General Bench
|
|||||
Mechanical / Electrical
Installation
|
65 R$ / h
|
Electrical Installation / Mechanical
|
|||||
Polish
|
100 R$ / h
|
Polish station
|
|||||
Study and Integration
|
150 R$ / h
|
Software
|
|||||
Try-Out
|
180 R$ / h
|
Experimentation of new or modified tooling
|
|||||
Dimensions Report Sample
|
75 R$ / h
|
Dimensional drawing up the report of the
samples obtained in the try-out
|
|||||
2 – Civil Construction Costs
The cost of
construction had accelerated in May due to collective agreements on labor in
São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro and inflation on material costs. Over 12 months
ago accumulated there is a slowdown due to output the peak in May / 14 . But in
the last six months the index rose to 2013 levels.
Brazil
|
INCC - FGV
|
|
May - Average Value
|
0,95%
|
|
Last Month Value
|
0,46%
|
|
Accumulated Last 12
Months
|
5,74%
|
|
Last 12 Months
Accumulated
|
6,89%
|
3 – Transport
INCTF - National Index Load
Fractional Transport costs measures the evolution of all the costs of
breakbulk, including transfer, collection and distribution, administration
costs and terminals.
INCT-L | National Index of
Cargo Transport Cost Capacity: measures the evolution of all the costs of a
full charge, including transfer, administration, risk management and value for
money.
The main developments of the last 2 months refer to
the administrative costs of the carriers (mainly labor) and the last 12 months
there are strong impacts of diesel and additives fluids.
R$ / ton
|
INCT-F
|
INCT-L
|
||||||||
400 Km
|
800 Km
|
400 Km
|
800 Km
|
|||||||
May - Average Value
|
1.009
|
1.288
|
105
|
165
|
||||||
Last month value
|
976
|
3,4% ↗
|
1.247
|
3,3% ↗
|
103
|
1,9% ↗
|
162
|
1,7% ↗
|
||
Average of the Last 12
Months
|
953
|
8,6% ↗
|
1.217
|
8,4% ↗
|
100
|
6,7% ↗
|
158
|
7,0% ↗
|
||
|
Nenhum comentário:
Postar um comentário